Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 145.646720 168.656137 195.404419 229.113431 270.913064 321.649918 3.888427e+02
2025-05-25 114.633853 143.132986 179.862299 231.849171 305.563959 409.701054 5.745766e+02
2025-06-01 96.615277 126.563074 167.840551 231.077713 329.802460 486.366569 7.734059e+02
2025-06-08 83.666113 113.524779 156.791647 227.241473 346.026305 553.577137 9.873380e+02
2025-06-15 77.120044 108.120325 155.210049 236.544857 384.672686 671.113962 1.363699e+03
2025-06-22 67.685949 96.907309 142.674629 224.884141 382.700754 710.639765 1.595320e+03
2025-06-29 61.945733 90.588187 136.869172 223.448375 399.210709 794.431297 2.004505e+03
2025-07-06 57.321832 85.439042 132.174391 222.945878 417.221998 889.124493 2.536334e+03
2025-07-13 55.612958 84.810561 135.033644 237.205179 471.034823 1099.804541 3.740921e+03
2025-07-20 54.499241 85.007947 139.307929 255.102922 539.381093 1393.998365 5.876204e+03
2025-07-27 51.551987 81.669675 136.559752 257.580798 570.226871 1592.989875 8.039591e+03
2025-08-03 49.386037 79.490068 135.710555 264.059403 614.209377 1872.390237 1.178499e+04
2025-08-10 45.939870 74.932802 130.204094 260.204020 632.175433 2087.831488 1.642602e+04
2025-08-17 43.463585 71.984311 127.664678 263.287482 674.193564 2463.284217 2.656428e+04
2025-08-24 40.915419 68.632888 123.837819 262.371322 703.572676 2820.771778 4.235613e+04
2025-08-31 38.353574 65.010459 118.984699 257.838995 719.238009 3132.306183 6.588374e+04
2025-09-07 37.233658 64.101018 119.861607 268.837195 797.677975 3980.876804 1.641153e+05
2025-09-14 34.451480 59.631608 112.341973 255.056027 773.835045 4065.198548 2.274025e+05
2025-09-21 32.752504 57.224312 109.226755 253.361786 799.971858 4621.003714 5.069908e+05
2025-09-28 31.274744 55.150008 106.645986 252.768964 831.404977 5316.563220 1.526456e+06
2025-10-05 30.952718 55.438447 109.600641 269.618710 953.476617 7389.118678 9.973537e+07
2025-10-12 30.820405 56.109958 113.562865 290.845784 1115.723468 10954.207033 NaN
2025-10-19 29.737335 54.638562 112.072280 293.791230 1183.044229 13537.539859 NaN